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WINNING INVESTMENTS with ETFS |
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A TRADING SYSTEM: MOSTLY USA |
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RANKINGS |
1 Strongest |
17 Weakest |
CLOSING PRICES |
7 |
May |
10 |
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|
Mar |
Apr |
May |
Apr |
May |
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2009-2010 |
5 |
12 |
19 |
26 |
1 |
9 |
16 |
23 |
30 |
7 |
12 |
19 |
26 |
1 |
9 |
16 |
23 |
30 |
7 |
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|
Biotech Hldrs |
BBH* |
7 |
11 |
9 |
12 |
14 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
104 |
107 |
103 |
104 |
104 |
104 |
99 |
97 |
92 |
|
|
Biotech ishrs |
IBB |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
7 |
10 |
10 |
13 |
91 |
91 |
91 |
92 |
92 |
92 |
91 |
91 |
83 |
|
|
EAFE ishrs |
EFA |
17 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
56 |
55 |
56 |
57 |
57 |
57 |
56 |
54 |
49 |
|
|
Energy Spdr |
XLE |
13 |
14 |
15 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
59 |
57 |
56 |
59 |
60 |
59 |
62 |
60 |
55 |
|
|
Financial Spdr |
XLF |
9 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
|
|
Japan ishrs |
EWJ |
16 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
|
|
MIdcap400 Spdr |
MDY |
2 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
142 |
142 |
143 |
145 |
148 |
149 |
154 |
149 |
137 |
|
|
OEX |
OEX |
12 |
13 |
13 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
11 |
526 |
531 |
535 |
538 |
545 |
545 |
553 |
540 |
507 |
|
|
Oil Svc Hldrs |
OIH* |
5 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
11 |
14 |
15 |
127 |
122 |
118 |
126 |
126 |
126 |
135 |
124 |
110 |
|
|
Russell 2000 ishrs |
IWM |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
68 |
67 |
68 |
68 |
70 |
71 |
74 |
72 |
65 |
|
|
Semicond Hldrs |
SMH* |
15 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
13 |
13 |
8 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
27 |
27 |
28 |
28 |
28 |
30 |
30 |
29 |
27 |
|
|
Smallcap600 ishrs |
IJR |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
59 |
59 |
60 |
60 |
62 |
63 |
65 |
63 |
58 |
|
|
Technol Spdr |
XLK |
14 |
12 |
10 |
9 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
24 |
24 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
DJIA dia |
DIA |
11 |
10 |
11 |
11 |
9 |
10 |
12 |
13 |
11 |
8 |
106 |
107 |
108 |
109 |
110 |
110 |
112 |
110 |
104 |
|
|
NDX 100 qqq |
QQQQ |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
47 |
47 |
48 |
48 |
49 |
50 |
51 |
49 |
45 |
|
|
SP 500 spy |
SPY |
8 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
7 |
115 |
116 |
117 |
118 |
120 |
119 |
122 |
119 |
111 |
|
|
Internet Hldrs |
HHH* |
10 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
12 |
60 |
60 |
61 |
60 |
63 |
63 |
63 |
60 |
55 |
|
|
MARKET TIMING |
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Leading Trend |
96 |
99 |
100 |
92 |
97 |
99 |
100 |
96 |
91 |
34 |
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|
Lagging Trend |
97 |
99 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
96 |
90 |
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MarketTrend |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
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Index options |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
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Timer module |
53 |
55 |
51 |
51 |
52 |
53 |
51 |
52 |
49 |
40 |
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Buy |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
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Sell |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
Sell |
wait |
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Hold or switch to |
US |
US |
US |
US |
US |
US |
US |
US |
US |
US |
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* trades only in round lots (100 shares)
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Note. OEX is not an ETF. It is solely an index, not tradeable. It comprises the largest 100 stocks by capitalization in the S&500. It can be traded through its trading symbol, OEF. OEX gives desirable balance and weight characteristics to the portfolio which would otherwise be absent.
Index options is a specialized series for experienced options users. See here for details of purpose, construction, and method. Timer module is a newly developed timing method to offset long-term trend signals which may diverge from extended market trends for 'too long' a period. The numbers express a ratio of average portfolio-price behavior to a measure of bear-market sensitivity that runs parallel to the portfolio. 50 is the mean, a neutral reading. See here for background and details. The 'rules' are: above the mean (50), the trend is up--buy; below the mean, the trend is down, sell short or hold cash. Hold or switch to tells which is the better ETF to track with this week. Act on the Buy/Sell signals that it directs. US is the Mostly USA ETFs Portfolio. WW is the Worldwide ETFs Portfolio. |