|
WINNING INVESTMENTS with ETFS |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
A TRADING SYSTEM: MOSTLY USA |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
RANKINGS |
1 Strongest |
17 Weakest |
CLOSING PRICES |
4 |
Dec |
09 |
|||||||||||||||
|
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Nov |
Dec |
|||||||||||||||||
|
2009 |
2 |
9 |
16 |
23 |
30 |
6 |
13 |
20 |
27 |
4 |
9 |
16 |
23 |
30 |
6 |
13 |
20 |
27 |
4 |
||
|
Biotech Hldrs |
BBH* |
16 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
100 |
102 |
95 |
90 |
96 |
97 |
96 |
98 |
98 |
|
|
Biotech ishrs |
IBB |
12 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
80 |
81 |
77 |
73 |
77 |
78 |
78 |
78 |
80 |
|
|
EAFE ishrs |
EFA |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
55 |
56 |
56 |
53 |
55 |
56 |
55 |
55 |
57 |
|
|
Energy Spdr |
XLE |
17 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
56 |
59 |
58 |
55 |
57 |
57 |
57 |
57 |
56 |
|
|
Financial Spdr |
XLF |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
6 |
9 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
15 |
|
|
Japan ishrs |
EWJ |
15 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
|
|
MIdcap400 Spdr |
MDY |
3 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
8 |
8 |
127 |
128 |
127 |
120 |
124 |
127 |
125 |
124 |
128 |
|
|
OEX |
OEX |
14 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
495 |
503 |
500 |
482 |
496 |
508 |
509 |
509 |
514 |
|
|
Oil Svc Hldrs |
OIH* |
11 |
9 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
122 |
129 |
127 |
117 |
121 |
122 |
117 |
117 |
115 |
|
|
Russell 2000 ishrs |
IWM |
5 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
61 |
62 |
60 |
56 |
58 |
59 |
59 |
58 |
60 |
|
|
Semicond Hldrs |
SMH* |
9 |
10 |
11 |
11 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
26 |
26 |
25 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
25 |
25 |
27 |
|
|
Smallcap600 ishrs |
IJR |
7 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
53 |
54 |
53 |
49 |
51 |
51 |
51 |
51 |
53 |
|
|
Technol Spdr |
XLK |
8 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
5 |
4 |
21 |
21 |
21 |
21 |
21 |
22 |
22 |
22 |
22 |
|
|
DJIA dia |
DIA |
13 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
9 |
9 |
6 |
99 |
100 |
100 |
97 |
100 |
103 |
103 |
103 |
104 |
|
|
NDX 100 qqq |
QQQQ |
4 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
42 |
43 |
43 |
41 |
43 |
44 |
43 |
44 |
44 |
|
|
SP 500 spy |
SPY |
10 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
107 |
109 |
108 |
104 |
107 |
110 |
109 |
110 |
111 |
|
|
Internet Hldrs |
HHH* |
6 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
52 |
51 |
55 |
54 |
56 |
58 |
56 |
57 |
58 |
|
|
MARKET TIMING |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Leading Trend |
96 |
99 |
100 |
96 |
83 |
86 |
92 |
89 |
93 |
98 |
|||||||||||
|
Lagging Trend |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
96 |
95 |
|||||||||||
|
MarketTrend |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Dwn |
Up |
|||||||||||
|
Index options |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
|||||||||||
|
Short term level |
48 |
51 |
55 |
56 |
45 |
49 |
52 |
56 |
51 |
51 |
|||||||||||
|
Buy |
wait |
Buy |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
Buy |
wait |
wait |
wait |
|||||||||||
|
Sell |
Sell |
wait |
wait |
wait |
Sell |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
wait |
|||||||||||
|
* trades only in round lots (100 shares)
|
|
Note. OEX is not an ETF. It is solely an index, not tradeable. It comprises the largest 100 stocks by capitalization in the S&500. It can be traded through its trading symbol, OEF. OEX gives desirable balance and weight characteristics to the portfolio which would otherwise be absent.
Index options is a specialized series for experienced options users. See here for details of purpose, construction, and method. Short term level and Market Trend are both timing indicators. They are independent of each other. Short-term is faster, more profitable, and has smaller losses and drawdowns. Its 'rules' are: when above the mean (50), the trend is up--buy; below the mean, the trend is down, sell short the S&P500 or its equivalent (or hold cash). Act on crossings, not in between. |