Current Real-time Results -- WINNING INVESTMENTS with EXCHANGE-TRADED ETFs -- Advanced Stock Selection and Stock Market Timing by Copernicus

WINNING INVESTMENTS with EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS

SYSTEM: WORLDWIDE ETFs

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Top two results with timing

Table 8.

Current Real-time Results
Buy & Sell Top Two Ranked Funds and Sell Short
Bottom Ranked Fund(s) using Market Timing
From May 31, 2006 to the Present
See footnotes below

Market			Price			$	%	weeks	*avg	cum%	cum%
Trend	Buy	Fund	Buy	Sell	Date	Gain	Gain	held	%Gain	Gain	SP500	SP500
up	5/31/2006	GLD	62.15	63.82	6/2/2006	1.67	2.7	0.3	2.7	1.3	1.2	1286
up	5/31/2006	OIH	150.60	157.20	6/2/2006	6.60	4.4	0.3	3.5	3.6	1.2	1286
down	6/9/2006	HHH	52.00	53.59	6/2/2006	1.59	3.0	1	3.3	6.6	-1.4	1252
up	6/9/2006	GLD	60.78	62.09	8/18/2006	1.31	2.2	10	3.0	7.8	2.5	1302
up	6/9/2006	OIH	142.80	145.10	7/14/2006	2.30	1.6	5	2.8	8.7	-2.7	1236
up	7/14/2006	RYURX	8.57	8.30	7/28/2006	-0.27	-3.2	2	1.8	6.9	0.7	1279
up	7/28/2006	XLU	34.01	34.45	10/13/2006	0.44	1.3	11	1.7	7.6	7.3	1363
up	8/18/2006	IYE	99.02	96.55	9/1/2006	-2.47	-2.5	2	1.2	6.3	3.2	1311
up	9/1/2006	EWW	42.21	50.54	1/16/2007	8.33	19.7	20	3.2	16.8	12.7	1431
up	10/13/2006	XLV	33.04	33.75	10/20/2006	0.71	2.1	1	3.1	18.0	7.8	1369
up	10/20/2006	XLK	22.75	23.60	11/24/2006	0.85	3.7	5	3.2	20.2	10.3	1401
up	11/24/2006	ILF	161.89	166.10	1/12/2007	4.21	2.6	7	3.1	21.8	12.7	1431
down	1/19/2007	EWJ	14.23	14.10	1/12/2007	-0.13	-0.9	1	2.8	20.7	12.7	1431
down	1/26/2007	OIH	132.62	133.51	1/19/2007	0.89	0.7	1	2.7	21.5	12.6	1430
down	1/26/2007	SMH	33.94	33.53	1/19/2007	-0.41	-1.2	1	2.4	20.0	12.0	1422
up	1/26/2007	EWW	51.07	51.80	3/9/2007	0.73	1.4	6	2.4	20.9	10.5	1403
up	1/26/2007	ILF	170.12	169.87	3/9/2007	-0.25	-0.1	6	2.2	20.8	10.5	1403
down	3/16/2007	OIH	140.70	138.55	3/9/2007	-2.15	-1.6	1	2.0	18.9	9.2	1387
up	3/16/2007	EWW	50.75	56.51	4/27/2007	5.76	11.3	6	2.5	25.6	17.6	1494
up	3/16/2007	ILF	168.00	178.51	3/23/2007	10.51	6.3	1	2.7	29.6	13.1	1436
up	3/23/2007	XLB	38.02	38.70	4/6/2007	0.68	1.8	2	2.6	30.7	13.7	1444
up	4/6/2007	ILF	187.19	191.69	4/13/2007	4.50	2.4	1	2.6	32.3	14.4	1453
up	4/13/2007	EWG	30.89	31.06	4/20/2007	0.17	0.6	1	2.5	32.7	16.9	1484
up	4/20/2007	EWZ	53.71	59.75	8/24/07	6.04	11.2	18	2.9	40.1	16.5	1479
up	4/27/2007	EWG	31.76	31.50	5/11/07	-0.26	-0.8	2	2.7	39.6	18.6	1506
up	5/11/07	ILF	200.34	213.18	7/27/2007	12.84	6.4	11	2.9	44.0	14.9	1459
up	7/27/2007	EWY	66.40	61.67	8/24/07	-4.73	-7.1	4	2.5	38.9	16.5	1479
down	8/21/2007	XLF	33.84	34.46	8/24/2007	0.62	1.8	0	2.5	41.4	16.1	1474
up	8/31/07	EWZ	61.80	70.01	9/21/2007	8.21	13.3	3	2.9	50.8	20.1	1526
up	8/31/07	EWY	63.76	65.85	10/19/2007	2.09	3.3	7	2.9	53.3	17.9	1498
up	9/21/2007	OIH	195.16	191.85	9/28/2007	-3.31	-1.7	1	2.7	52.0	20.3	1527
up	9/28/2007	EWZ	74.64	80.60	11/30/2007	5.96	8.0	9	2.9	58.0	16.5	1480
up	10/19/2007	ILF	240.00	252.15	11/30/2007	12.15	5.1	6	3.0	62.0	16.5	1480
down	12/7/2007	XLF	31.54	30.84	11/30/2007	-0.70	-2.3	1	2.8	58.3	18.5	1505
up	12/7/2007	EWZ	85.27	78.35	2/1/2008	-6.92	-8.1	8	2.5	51.9	9.9	1395
up	12/7/2007	ILF	266.00	241.75	1/4/2008	-24.25	-9.1	4	2.2	45.0	11.3	1414
up	1/4/2008	GLD	85.24	88.51	2/1/2008	3.27	3.8	4	2.2	47.8	9.9	1395
up	2/8/2008	XLF	27.07	29.36	2/1/2008	2.29	7.8	1	2.4	59.3	4.9	1332
up	2/8/2008	EWZ	75.78	82.00	2/15/2008	6.22	8.2	1	2.5	65.8	6.8	1356
up	2/8/2008	GLD	91.04	91.23	2/15/2008	0.19	0.2	1	2.5	66.0	6.8	1356
down	4/11/2008	XLF	24.97	27.16	2/15/2008	2.19	8.8	8	2.6	80.6	4.9	1332
down	3/28/2008	SMH	28.60	28.80	2/15/2008	0.20	0.7	6	2.6	81.8	3.6	1316
down	4/4/2008	EWY	59.87	55.63	3/28/2008	-4.24	-7.6	1	2.3	68.0	8.2	1374
down	4/11/2008	XLK	22.59	23.33	4/4/2008	0.74	3.3	1	2.3	73.5	4.9	1332
up	4/11/2008	GLD	91.32	85.68	5/2/2008	-5.64	-6.2	3	2.2	68.1	11.4	1415
up	4/11/2008	EWZ	82.16	88.05	4/18/2008	5.89	6.7	1	2.3	73.7	9.3	1388
up	4/18/2008	ILF	280.19	278.20	6/13/2008	-1.99	-0.7	8	2.2	73.1	9.3	1388
up	5/2/2008	EWZ	93.42	83.45	7/11/2008	-9.97	-11.9	10	1.9	62.8	-2.2	1242
up	6/13/2008	OIH	212.00	183.65	8/1/2008	-28.35	-15.4	7	1.5	50.2	-0.8	1260
up	7/11/2008	XLE	82.00	74.50	8/1/2008	-7.50	-10.1	3	1.3	42.6	-0.8	1260
down	5/1/2009	SPY	88.55	126.04	8/1/2008	37.49	29.7	39	1.9	85.1	-30.8	879
up	5/1/2009	GLD	87.55	89.64	5/8/2009	2.09	2.3	1	1.9	87.2	-27.3	923
up	5/1/2009	HHH	40.68	39.87	5/15/2009	-0.81	-2.0	2	1.8	85.3	-30.2	886
up	5/8/2009	EWT	10.45	11.12	7/17/2009	0.67	6.0	10	1.9	90.9	-25.8	942
up	5/15/2009	EWY	35.63	35.23	6/5/2009	-0.40	-1.1	3	1.8	89.8	-15.2	938
up	6/5/2009	EWZ	54.60	58.56	8/28/2009	3.96	7.3	12	1.9	96.7	-7.3	1025
up	7/17/2009	ILF	36.38	39.44	8/7/2009	3.06	8.4	3	2.0	105.0	-8.8	1009
up	8/7/2009	EPP	35.98	37.08	8/21/2009	1.10	3.1	2	2.1	108.1	-7.2	1027
up	8/21/2009	EWY	42.62	46.40	10/16/2009	3.78	8.9	8	2.2	117.4	-1.6	1088
up	8/28/2009	EWW	43.25	43.95	9/11/2009	0.70	1.6	2	2.2	119.1	-6.0	1040
up	9/11/2009	EPP	38.35	41.71	10/9/2009	3.36	8.8	4	2.3	128.7	-3.1	1072
up	10/9/2009	EWZ	73.06	75.70	11/6/2009	2.64	3.6	4	2.3	132.9	-3.1	1072
up	10/16/2009	EPP	42.64	42.08	11/6/2009	-0.56	-1.3	3	2.2	131.3	-3.1	1072
down	11/13/2009	EWJ	9.58	9.65	11/6/2009	0.07	0.7	1	2.2	132.2	-1.1	1094
down	11/13/2009	XLU	29.58	29.07	11/6/2009	-0.51	-1.7	1	2.2	130.2	-1.1	1094
up	11/13/2009	EWZ	75.74	65.59	1/29/2010	-10.15	-13.4	11	1.9	114.8	-2.9	1074
up	11/13/2009	ILF	47.73	47.65	12/24/2009	-0.08	-0.2	6	1.9	114.6	1.9	1128
up	12/24/2009	HHH	59.59	54.40	1/29/2010	-5.19	-8.7	11	1.7	105.2	-2.9	1074
down	2/26/2010	SP500	1105.36	1092.40	1/22/2010	-12.96	-1.2	4	1.7	104.0	-0.1	1105
up	2/26/2010	EWW	49.24	50.72	3/5/2010	1.48	3.0	1	1.7	107.1	2.9	1138
up	2/26/2010	XLV	31.40	32.03	3/5/2010	0.63	2.0	1	1.7	109.2	2.9	1138
up	3/5/2010	OIH	127.13	119.76	3/19/2010	-7.37	-5.8	3	1.6	103.1	4.6	1157
up	3/5/2010	IWM	66.64	70.00	5/14/2010	3.36	5.0	10	1.7	108.2	2.7	1137
up	3/19/2010	EWW	51.46	50.30	5/14/2010	-1.16	-2.3	10	1.6	105.9	2.7	1137
down	open	OIH	--	111.86	5/14/2010
down*	7/9/2010	EWG	19.74	19.91	5/14/2010	0.17	0.9	8	1.6	106.8	-0.1	1105
down	open	EPP	--	38.13	7/9/2010

Symbol Lookup

* This is the latest dated row which contains all closed trades.

Friday dates, Monday opening prices.

When new trades occur, time lapses before posting here.
Allow up to three weeks from transaction date.

The earlier of the two dates in each row is the entry signal date
from the weekly letters for the 'Event' (Buy or Sell).
The later date is the exit date. For short sales, the second date is the entry date.
The Sell column includes original short sales.
Short-sale dates are shaded gray.

'Event' prices are based on start date or Friday closing
(or last trading day of the week) signals and show next day's
(usually Monday's) first opening prices at or after 9:30am ET.

Real-time. These prices really happened on the dates specified.
But unless you personally participated in the reported openings,
the table is hypothetical relative to yourself.

cumul %Gain assumes a two-fund long or two-fund short portfolio' at all times.
avg %Gain is the average profit of all trades since inception.
No allowance has been made for transaction costs.

For the start date, May 31, 2006, the next day's opening
SP500 price was 1270.05.

The direction of Market Trend is as of the earlier
date in either date column.

The table reflects as accurately as possible
a record of real-world results as they occur.

Modifications and effective dates:
1-25-08: Short-term timing tightened; results:
smaller drawdowns and moderate improvement in performance.
2-15-08: Long-term timing rule incorporated. Dampens drawdowns.
Moderate improvement in performance.
8-1-2008: SPY substituted for RYURX per footnote re Ursa here.
9-30-08: Short-term timing lengthened slightly; results:
0.70% per year improvement in performance; max drawdown unchanged.
1-5-09: Application change: adopts use of two bottom-ranked funds instead of
one for short selling when the makert trend is down. Reduces max drawdown
and improves overall performance by 5% per year.
4/17/09: Long-term timing rule modified. Threshold lowered from 10 to 5.
Improves annual return from inception by two percentage points;
max drawdown unchanged.

Modifications have no effect on historical
Real-time Results which are recorded
as they occur.

Data are posted manually from multiple sources.
Errors can occur. If you find any, please let me know.
Beyond that, this page is the Rock of Gibraltar;
except for fixing errors, no alterations
permitted after the fact.

Erratum. The January 19, 2007 weekly letter erroneously called for a short sale in OIH. It should have been SMH. OIH opened Monday morning January 22nd at 133.51. The next week's letter of January 26 corrected the error, covering OIH Monday morning January 29 at 132.62 for a small profit. SMH is correctly entered above in the table. The table reflects system accuracy. This box reflects correction of human error. See mistakes.